12.09.2025 12:50

The Current State of the AI Economy: A Balancing Act of Costs and Growth

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As of September 2025, the AI economy is at a pivotal juncture, marked by rapid advancements and mounting challenges.

The cost of generating one million tokens has dropped approximately 100-fold, yet surging demand outpaces this decline.

Two years ago, SaaS companies handled 1-2k tokens; now, a standard deep research query requires 1 million tokens, with projections of 10-100 million per query by next year.

Notion, once enjoying a 90% margin typical of cloud SaaS, is seeing this erode as CEO Ivan Zhao reveals AI provider payments now account for about 10% of its revenue.

Similarly, Cursor, Replit, and others are raising prices despite 80-90% margins from large clients, prompting a shift to cost-effective models like GPT-5 Nano ($0.10 per million tokens) compared to GPT-5’s $3.44.

Industry giants — Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic — dominate infrastructure, making it increasingly difficult for startups to compete. Despite promises of cheaper AI, the real economic burden is rising, straining startup business models. This benefits clients with improved efficiency but risks driving market centralization.

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