31.01.2026 09:53Author: Viacheslav Vasipenok

Google's AI Commerce Leap: Direct Offers and the Universal Commerce Protocol Redefine Shopping in the Gemini Era

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In January 2026, Google unveiled a transformative suite of AI-driven shopping innovations, positioning itself at the forefront of "agentic commerce" — where AI agents handle discovery, decision-making, and transactions.

Announced on January 11 during the National Retail Federation conference, these updates include the Direct Offers pilot for targeted advertising in AI Mode and the launch of the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP), an open standard co-developed with major retailers.

Google CEO Sundar Pichai described this as an "expansionary moment" for retail, emphasizing seamless, conversational experiences that keep users within Google's ecosystem.


Direct Offers: Precision Discounts in AI Conversations

At the core of Google's advertising pivot is Direct Offers, a Google Ads pilot that replaces traditional keyword-based sponsored links with contextually timed promotions. Retailers configure exclusive offers — initially focused on discounts like 20% off — in their campaign settings. Google's Gemini AI model then analyzes the user's conversational context in AI Mode (the enhanced, generative search experience) and Gemini app interactions, including clicked products and dialogue history, to determine purchase readiness.

When the AI detects high intent, it surfaces the offer directly in the response or product details page, helping close the sale "in the moment." This shifts from static ads to dynamic, value-driven interventions that prioritize shopper benefits over mere visibility.

Early participants include Petco (pet supplies), e.l.f. Cosmetics (affordable beauty), Samsonite (luggage), Rugs USA, and select Shopify merchants. Google plans to expand beyond discounts to bundles, free shipping, and other attributes that emphasize value. Vidhya Srinivasan, VP of Google Ads and Commerce, noted: "It is a new concept that moves beyond our traditional search ads model... It gives retailers the flexibility to deliver value... in the moment it matters most to close the sale."

This approach blends contextual targeting (from the ongoing conversation) with behavioral signals (past clicks and patterns), potentially offering higher relevance than keyword ads. However, the broader context in long AI chats could dilute focus compared to precise search queries, raising questions about ad precision in exploratory versus transactional sessions.


Universal Commerce Protocol: Enabling Seamless, Agent-Powered Shopping

Complementing Direct Offers is the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP), an open, agnostic standard launched at ucp.dev. Co-developed with Shopify, Etsy, Wayfair, Target, and Walmart — and endorsed by over 20 others including Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, Adyen, and PayPal — UCP creates a common language for AI agents, retailers, and payment providers across the shopping journey: discovery, selection, checkout, and post-purchase support.

UCP powers native checkout on eligible U.S. product listings in AI Mode and Gemini, allowing users to buy directly without leaving the platform. Payments use Google Pay with saved Wallet details, with PayPal integration forthcoming. Retailers remain the seller of record, retaining control over branding and customer relationships.

Walmart announced an expanded partnership, enabling Gemini users to shop its and Sam's Club assortments seamlessly. Shopify integrated similar capabilities with Microsoft Copilot, highlighting cross-ecosystem potential.

Pichai highlighted UCP's role in an "agentic" future: "AI agents will be a big part of how we shop... UCP [helps] agents and systems talk to each other across every step." Tobi Lütke, Shopify CEO, praised its serendipity: "It’s really good at finding people who have specific interests and finding the product that is just perfect for them... This kind of serendipity is where the best of commerce happens."


Shifting Advertising Paradigms and Competitive Landscape

Traditional search ads rely on keywords, contextual ads on page content, and behavioral targeting on user profiles. In AI Mode, users actively build rich, dynamic contexts through natural language, enabling deeper intent understanding — but potentially less focused signals than short queries.

Google's moves counter threats from rivals like OpenAI (ChatGPT shopping integrations) and Amazon (AI agents). By keeping commerce within Gemini and Search, Google aims to recapture lost traffic from AI summaries that reduce clicks. Ads in AI Overviews and Mode already appear, blending paid placements into generative responses.

The open UCP could foster interoperability, allowing other agents (e.g., from OpenAI or Meta) to leverage it, mitigating antitrust risks. Yet, critics may view Google's dominance in search and AI as enabling walled-garden commerce, especially as it monetizes free Gemini users.

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Implications for Retailers, Advertisers, and Consumers

For retailers, these tools promise reduced cart abandonment, higher conversion via timely offers, and direct AI visibility through Merchant Center enhancements. Brands gain "branded" experiences via Business Agent — AI chat in Search using their voice — for retailers like Lowe’s and Reebok.

Consumers benefit from frictionless shopping: research, compare, and buy in one conversation, with personalized discounts enhancing value. Early pilots suggest improved discovery, though privacy and data use remain key concerns.

As 2026 unfolds, Google's agentic push — bolstered by UCP's openness and Direct Offers' precision — could accelerate AI's role in a multi-trillion-dollar e-commerce market.

Whether it sparks broader adoption or regulatory scrutiny, one thing is clear: the future of shopping is conversational, contextual, and increasingly powered by AI agents.


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