04.11.2025 17:41

The Evil Twin of YouTube TV: Investors Eye Fubo as Disney Snaps Up the OTT Challenger

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In the cutthroat world of streaming television, where cord-cutters reign supreme and sports rights battles rage like gladiatorial contests, Disney has just drawn a line in the sand. Last week, the media behemoth finalized its acquisition of a 70% stake in FuboTV Inc., the sports-centric OTT (over-the-top) platform that's been quietly building a loyal following in the U.S. pay-TV market.

This move isn't just corporate housekeeping - it's a calculated strike against Google’s YouTube TV, Disney's erstwhile partner turned thorn in the side. With the deal's ink barely dry, fresh financials from Fubo are turning heads on Wall Street, painting a picture of resilience and untapped potential that could reshape the live-TV streaming landscape.


The Breakup: Disney Dumps YouTube TV's Demands

It wasn't mere coincidence that Disney chose this moment to sever ties with YouTube TV. The two giants have been locked in a heated carriage fee dispute, with their agreement expiring at the end of October 2025. Overnight on October 31, Disney's crown jewels - ABC, ESPN, FX, National Geographic, and more than 20 channels - vanished from the platform, leaving millions of subscribers in the lurch just as college football ramps up and Election Night looms.

YouTube TV, boasting over 10 million subscribers and positioning itself as the third-largest TV distributor in the U.S., fired back by accusing Disney of "costly economic terms" designed to hike prices for consumers while bolstering Disney's own services like Hulu + Live TV.

The fallout has been swift and painful. Fans missed key college football matchups over the weekend, and tonight's "Monday Night Football" clash between the Dallas Cowboys and Arizona Cardinals - traditionally a staple on ESPN and ABC - remains blacked out for YouTube TV users.

Disney even pleaded with Google to restore ABC feeds for Election Day coverage on November 4, citing "public interest," but YouTube TV rebuffed the request, arguing it would sow confusion and pointing out that ABC News is streaming live on YouTube's free platform anyway.

Social media erupted with frustration, branding the standoff "corporate greed" as viewers scrambled for alternatives like DirecTV or Verizon Fios.

For Disney, the timing is impeccable. Why haggle with a "greedy partner" over per-subscriber fees - estimated to cost Disney $5 million daily in lost access - when a superior alternative is now in-house? Enter Fubo: the underdog OTT service that's suddenly become the House of Mouse's secret weapon.


Fubo's Rise: From Soccer Niche to Streaming Powerhouse

Founded in 2015 as a soccer-focused streaming outlet, Fubo has evolved into a robust live-TV platform emphasizing sports, news, and entertainment. It operates in the U.S., Canada, Spain, and France (via its Molotov acquisition), but its North American core has always been the growth engine. With flexible bundles - from "skinny" sports packages to full-lineup options - Fubo appeals to the value-conscious cord-cutter tired of bloated cable bills.

The Disney deal, first announced in January 2025 as a settlement to Fubo's antitrust lawsuit against the Venu Sports joint venture (backed by Disney, Fox, and Warner Bros. Discovery), merges Fubo with Hulu + Live TV. Disney now controls 70% of the combined entity, which remains publicly traded under FUBO on the NYSE, with Fubo CEO David Gandler at the helm.

The merger catapults the new player to nearly 6 million North American subscribers, making it the sixth-largest pay-TV operator behind only giants like YouTube TV (over 10 million subs). That's a combined arsenal of over 55,000 live sporting events annually, blending Fubo's sports-first ethos with Hulu's entertainment depth.

Critics like DirecTV and EchoStar cried foul, arguing the acquisition sidesteps antitrust issues by essentially buying off a competitor. But the U.S. Department of Justice cleared the deal in late October after months of scrutiny, greenlighting Disney's expansion in a consolidating sports media market. As Gandler put it, the alliance fosters "a more flexible streaming ecosystem" with "greater choice" and "sustainable growth."


Financial Fireworks: Beating Expectations on the Eve of Glory

If the acquisition validated Disney's bet, Fubo's Q3 2025 earnings - released just days after the deal closed—sealed it with a bow. For the quarter ended September 30, Fubo reported North American revenue of $368.6 million, a modest 2.3% dip year-over-year but a resounding beat against Wall Street's $361.27 million forecast. Total revenue hit $377.2 million, edging out expectations and underscoring operational grit amid industry headwinds.

Subscriber growth was the star: Fubo added a whopping 275,000 net paid users in North America, pushing the standalone total to 1.63 million - a 1.1% year-over-year increase and the strongest quarterly gain in recent memory. This bucks the trend of churn plaguing rivals like Comcast and Spectrum, fueled by innovations like the new Fubo Sports "skinny bundle" (a lower-cost sports tier) and pay-per-view event access.

Profitability metrics dazzled too. Fubo swung to positive adjusted EBITDA of $6.9 million - its second straight quarter in the black—and reported adjusted EPS of $0.02, flipping a $0.08 loss from Q3 2024.

While the company posted a net loss of $18.9 million (or $0.06 per share, better than the expected $0.09), these figures signal a path to "profitable scale," as CFO John Janedis emphasized. Fubo's stock, which has tripled in 2025 on acquisition buzz, dipped 10% post-earnings but remains a darling for growth investors.

Wall Street's reaction? Bullish. Analysts hailed the results as "resilient" and a "clear proof our model is working," per CEO Gandler, especially as Fubo taps ESPN's ecosystem for marketing firepower. Even amid the YouTube TV blackout, Fubo reports no opportunistic poaching - just steady inflows from frustrated viewers seeking alternatives.


Disney's Endgame: A YouTube TV Clone with a Twist (and a Vendetta)

Disney isn't acquiring Fubo for its current scale - 1.63 million subscribers is respectable but dwarfed by YouTube TV's behemoth status. This is a "buy for growth" play, blending Fubo's nimble, sports-obsessed platform with Hulu's broader appeal to create a "YouTube TV with dames and preference" (or, in plainer terms, entertainment for all tastes, from rom-coms to bridge games). The combined service promises "skinny to robust" plans at competitive prices, all while keeping Fubo and Hulu + Live TV as distinct apps to avoid alienating fans.

But let's not sugarcoat it: There's spite in the air. Disney's rift with Google reeks of payback. By controlling Fubo, Disney sidesteps YouTube TV's leverage, secures its channels' distribution on a friendly platform, and potentially funnels subscribers into its ecosystem (including Disney+ bundles).

As one analyst quipped, it's "Disney's middle finger to Mountain View, wrapped in a sports streaming bow." With Venu Sports' legal ghosts exorcised and DOJ blessings in hand, Disney is betting big on Fubo as the anti-YouTube: fan-first, frictionless, and fiercely independent.

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Investor Watch: Fubo's Stock as the Next Big Bet?

For investors, Fubo's Q3 glow-up couldn't come at a better time. The stock's 20% pre-market pop on acquisition close news, followed by earnings beats, screams momentum. Yet risks loom: Integration hiccups with Hulu, ongoing antitrust whispers, and the broader streaming wars where profitability remains elusive for many. Still, in a market where 40 million households have cut the cord, Fubo's 6-million-subscriber war chest positions it as a disruptor poised for explosive growth.

As the YouTube TV blackout drags into its second week, one thing's clear: Disney's "evil twin" isn't just a replacement - it's a revolution. Fubo isn't playing catch-up; it's redefining the game. And with Wall Street peering closely, the OTT underdog might just become the new king of the cord-cutters.


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