[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"nav-categories":3,"article-the-new-era-of-bitcoin-why-fed-rate-cuts-no-longer-guarantee-a-bull-run":70},{"data":4},[5,37,57,64],{"name":6,"slug":7,"categories":8},"Productivity","productivity",[9,13,17,21,25,29,33],{"id":10,"title":11,"slug":12},17,"Branding","branding",{"id":14,"title":15,"slug":16},19,"Marketing","marketing",{"id":18,"title":19,"slug":20},20,"Work","work",{"id":22,"title":23,"slug":24},34,"Community","community",{"id":26,"title":27,"slug":28},21,"For newbies","for-newbies",{"id":30,"title":31,"slug":32},24,"Investment","investment",{"id":34,"title":35,"slug":36},22,"Finance","finance",{"name":38,"slug":39,"categories":40},"Tech","tech",[41,45,49,53],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44},28,"Technology","technology",{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48},32,"Artificial Intelligence","artificial-intelligence",{"id":50,"title":51,"slug":52},26,"Security and protection","security-and-protection",{"id":54,"title":55,"slug":56},31,"YouTube Blog","youtube-blog",{"name":58,"slug":59,"categories":60},"News","news",[61],{"id":62,"title":58,"slug":63},18,"quasanews",{"name":65,"slug":66,"categories":67},"Business","business",[68],{"id":69,"title":65,"slug":66},16,{"post":71,"published_news":98,"popular_news":165,"categories":236},{"title":72,"description":73,"meta_title":72,"meta_description":74,"meta_keywords":75,"text":76,"slug":77,"created_at":78,"publish_at":79,"formatted_created_at":80,"category_id":30,"links":81,"view_type":86,"video_url":87,"views":88,"likes":89,"lang":90,"comments_count":89,"category":91},"The New Era of Bitcoin: Why Fed Rate Cuts No Longer Guarantee a Bull Run","For years, the crypto market operated under a simple mantra: \"When the Fed cuts, Bitcoin pumps.\" However, the latest insights from Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research, suggest that this correlation has fundamentally shifted.","As the Federal Reserve navigates a complex economic landscape, the traditional triggers for a crypto rally are being replaced by institutional caution and shifting capital flows.","\"When the Fed cuts, Bitcoin pumps.\" However, the latest insights from Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research, suggest that this correlation has fundamentally shifted","\u003Cp>For years, the crypto market operated under a simple mantra: "When the Fed cuts, Bitcoin pumps." However, the latest insights from \u003Cstrong>Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research\u003C/strong>, suggest that this correlation has fundamentally shifted. As the Federal Reserve navigates a complex economic landscape, the traditional triggers for a crypto rally are being replaced by institutional caution and shifting capital flows.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Ch4>\u003Cstrong>1. The Fed’s "Hawkish Cut" and Market Uncertainty\u003C/strong>\u003C/h4>\n\n\u003Cp>\u003Cpicture class=\"image-align-right\">\u003Csource srcset=\"https://cdn.quasa.io/photos/00/image-2025-12-20t120851269.webp\" type=\"image/webp\">\u003Cimg alt=\"The New Era of Bitcoin: Why Fed Rate Cuts No Longer Guarantee a Bull Run\" class=\"image-align-right\" height=\"447\" src=\"https://cdn.quasa.io/photos/00/image-2025-12-20t120851269.jpg\" width=\"300\" />\u003C/picture>Despite the recent rate reduction, the market’s reaction was far from bullish. Bitcoin saw a brief spike followed by a sharp retracement. Jerome Powell’s messaging has become a "mixed bag" of neutral, hawkish, and dovish signals [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=235\" target=\"_blank\">03:55\u003C/a>].\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cul>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Internal Division:\u003C/strong> For the first time in years, the Fed is notably divided. There is no longer a unanimous consensus on the pace of easing.\u003C/li>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>The Pause Scenario:\u003C/strong> The base case for 2025 is shifting from an aggressive cutting cycle to a potential "pause," as the Fed remains wary of persistent inflation and labor market discrepancies [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=598\" target=\"_blank\">09:58\u003C/a>].\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>\n\n\u003Ch4>\u003Cstrong>2. Institutional Dominance vs. Retail Absence\u003C/strong>\u003C/h4>\n\n\u003Cp>The current cycle is unique because it is almost entirely driven by institutional capital. Unlike 2017 or 2021, retail "FOMO" (Fear Of Missing Out) is largely missing [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=619\" target=\"_blank\">10:19\u003C/a>].\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cul>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Year-End Caution:\u003C/strong> Institutional players operate on different timelines. As we approach the end of the year, many are locking in profits and reducing risk rather than "YOLOing" into new positions before the holidays [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=1461\" target=\"_blank\">24:21\u003C/a>].\u003C/li>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Capital Fatigue:\u003C/strong> Without a fresh influx of liquidity, the market lacks the "fuel" needed to sustain a move above the psychological $100,000 barrier.\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>\n\n\u003Ch4>\u003Cstrong>3. The ETF Slowdown and On-Chain Outflows\u003C/strong>\u003C/h4>\n\n\u003Cp>\u003Cpicture class=\"image-align-left\">\u003Csource srcset=\"https://cdn.quasa.io/photos/00/image-2025-12-20t120737418.webp\" type=\"image/webp\">\u003Cimg alt=\"The New Era of Bitcoin: Why Fed Rate Cuts No Longer Guarantee a Bull Run\" class=\"image-align-left\" height=\"169\" src=\"https://cdn.quasa.io/photos/00/image-2025-12-20t120737418.jpg\" width=\"300\" />\u003C/picture>The narrative of "endless ETF inflows" is hitting a wall.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cul>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Decreasing Momentum:\u003C/strong> In 2025, Bitcoin ETF inflows have been significantly lower than in the previous year [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=684\" target=\"_blank\">11:24\u003C/a>].\u003C/li>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>The Selling Signal:\u003C/strong> For the first time since August 2023, the market has recorded net on-chain outflows in December [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=790\" target=\"_blank\">13:10\u003C/a>]. This suggests that "real money" is leaving the ecosystem, signaling distribution rather than accumulation.\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>\n\n\u003Ch4>\u003Cstrong>4. Technical Breakdown: Loss of Momentum\u003C/strong>\u003C/h4>\n\n\u003Cp>From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has exited the primary "bull channel" that has been in place since early 2023 [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=657\" target=\"_blank\">10:57\u003C/a>]. The inability of the price to reclaim the interior of this channel is a classic sign of trend exhaustion. The market has entered a consolidation phase where the risk of a prolonged sideways move or further correction outweighs the immediate upside.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Ch4>\u003Cstrong>5. The Death of the Halving Narrative?\u003C/strong>\u003C/h4>\n\n\u003Cp>\u003Cpicture class=\"image-align-right\">\u003Csource srcset=\"https://cdn.quasa.io/photos/00/image-2025-12-20t120853235.webp\" type=\"image/webp\">\u003Cimg alt=\"The New Era of Bitcoin: Why Fed Rate Cuts No Longer Guarantee a Bull Run\" class=\"image-align-right\" height=\"447\" src=\"https://cdn.quasa.io/photos/00/image-2025-12-20t120853235.jpg\" width=\"300\" />\u003C/picture>Thielen argues that the 4-year cycle is still alive, but its driver has changed. It’s no longer about the Halving (which has become a "rounding error" in terms of supply impact); it’s about the \u003Cstrong>U.S. Political Cycle\u003C/strong> [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=1110\" target=\"_blank\">18:30\u003C/a>].\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cul>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Seasonality:\u003C/strong> Historically, Bitcoin peaks in Q4 following an election, followed by a period of "cooling off" as the new administration takes office and policy uncertainty rises.\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>\n\n\u003Ch4>\u003Cstrong>6. The "Altseason" Paradox\u003C/strong>\u003C/h4>\n\n\u003Cp>The classic "Altseason" where every small token pumps is being replaced by a more selective market.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cul>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Supply Inflation:\u003C/strong> Annual token unlocks totaling tens of billions of dollars create constant sell pressure that retail cannot absorb [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=1732\" target=\"_blank\">28:52\u003C/a>].\u003C/li>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>The TradFi Substitute:\u003C/strong> Instead of buying "shitcoins," institutional money is flowing into crypto-linked stocks (MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Miners) and upcoming IPOs (Circle, Kraken). These assets are effectively capturing the "altcoin alpha" in this cycle [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=1854\" target=\"_blank\">30:54\u003C/a>].\u003C/li>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Cstrong>Strategic Picks:\u003C/strong> In this environment, Thielen favors \u003Cstrong>BNB\u003C/strong> due to its ecosystem utility, yield-generating launchpads, and strong exchange backing [\u003Ca href=\"http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYI1COYtJU4&t=1768\" target=\"_blank\">29:28\u003C/a>].\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>\n\n\u003Chr />\n\u003Cp>\u003Cstrong>Also read:\u003C/strong>\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cul>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https://quasa.io/media/perseverance-s-martian-marathon-nasa-s-rover-sets-record-with-ai-autopilot-prowess\">Perseverance's Martian Marathon: NASA's Rover Sets Record with AI Autopilot Prowess\u003C/a>\u003C/li>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https://quasa.io/media/the-rise-of-indistinguishable-ai-voices-top-tools-for-human-like-audio-in-2026\">The Rise of Indistinguishable AI Voices: Top Tools for Human-Like Audio in 2026\u003C/a>\u003C/li>\n\t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https://quasa.io/media/replit-s-ai-revolution-free-starter-plan-chatgpt-app-building-and-agent-upgrades-make-coding-effortless\">Replit's AI Revolution: Free Starter Plan, ChatGPT App Building, and Agent Upgrades Make Coding Effortless\u003C/a>\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>\n\n\u003Cp>Author: \u003Ca href=\"https://www.linkedin.com/in/slava-vasipenok/\">Slava Vasipenok\u003C/a>\u003Cbr />\nFounder and CEO of QUASA (quasa.io) - Daily insights on Web3, AI, Crypto, and Freelance. Stay updated on finance, technology trends, and creator tools - with sources and real value.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cp>Innovative entrepreneur with over 20 years of experience in IT, fintech, and blockchain. Specializes in decentralized solutions for freelancing, helping to overcome the barriers of traditional finance, especially in developing regions.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cp>This is not financial or investment advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).\u003C/p>","the-new-era-of-bitcoin-why-fed-rate-cuts-no-longer-guarantee-a-bull-run","2025-12-20T11:10:54.000000Z","2026-01-01T03:02:00.000000Z","01.01.2026",{"image":82,"image_webp":83,"thumb":84,"thumb_webp":85},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/oFWNt36kPpDNgAWDRZj3kcnjJXHlWaFfRmTkotGK.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/oFWNt36kPpDNgAWDRZj3kcnjJXHlWaFfRmTkotGK.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/oFWNt36kPpDNgAWDRZj3kcnjJXHlWaFfRmTkotGK.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/oFWNt36kPpDNgAWDRZj3kcnjJXHlWaFfRmTkotGK.webp","video","https://www.youtube.com/embed/vYI1COYtJU4?rel=0&showinfo=0;autoplay=1",1007,0,"en",{"id":30,"title":31,"slug":32,"meta_title":92,"meta_description":93,"meta_keywords":94,"deleted_at":95,"created_at":96,"updated_at":97,"lang":90},"Investment Growth Hacks: AI Startups, Crypto & VC Unicorns | QUASA","Investments and life hacks. Forecasts and investment trends in Quasa Media.","Investment, IPO, bonds, Gold, invest. Investments, investor",null,"2021-12-10T10:41:35.000000Z","2026-04-22T15:07:26.000000Z",[99,114,127,140,153],{"title":100,"description":101,"slug":102,"created_at":103,"publish_at":104,"formatted_created_at":105,"category":106,"links":107,"view_type":112,"video_url":95,"views":10,"likes":89,"lang":90,"comments_count":89,"is_pinned":113},"The Streaming Wars Take Flight: How Starlink is Reshaping In-Flight Entertainment","For decades, in-flight entertainment meant whatever was pre-loaded onto the seatback screen — a limited library of movies, TV shows, and games updated slowly and chosen by the airline. 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He’s widely considered the #1 podcaster in the AI space right now — thoughtful, deeply prepared, and consistently landing the most interesting guests.","dwarkesh-patel-is-hiring-a-researcher-and-he-s-paying-20-000-for-the-best-answers-to-these-four-brutal-ai-questions","2026-04-27T13:04:42.000000Z","2026-05-01T11:54:00.000000Z",{"title":19,"slug":20},{"image":148,"image_webp":149,"thumb":150,"thumb_webp":151},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/dVcXHgZjgg7VNZc8YEF3bhhDxv52342bd4cCJY4E.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/dVcXHgZjgg7VNZc8YEF3bhhDxv52342bd4cCJY4E.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/dVcXHgZjgg7VNZc8YEF3bhhDxv52342bd4cCJY4E.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/dVcXHgZjgg7VNZc8YEF3bhhDxv52342bd4cCJY4E.webp",115,{"title":154,"description":155,"slug":156,"created_at":157,"publish_at":157,"formatted_created_at":132,"category":158,"links":159,"view_type":112,"video_url":95,"views":164,"likes":89,"lang":90,"comments_count":89,"is_pinned":113},"What Will Be Scarce in the Age of AI","The economy was never a fixed pie to be divided. As abundance arrives in one domain, human preferences and mimetic desires push demand into new, still-scarce territory.","what-will-be-scarce-in-the-age-of-ai","2026-05-01T11:32:27.000000Z",{"title":19,"slug":20},{"image":160,"image_webp":161,"thumb":162,"thumb_webp":163},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/WnVrqsbWvXE0aLN8FvWEVrOFFX5vRKpAdLTfZeIl.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/WnVrqsbWvXE0aLN8FvWEVrOFFX5vRKpAdLTfZeIl.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/WnVrqsbWvXE0aLN8FvWEVrOFFX5vRKpAdLTfZeIl.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/WnVrqsbWvXE0aLN8FvWEVrOFFX5vRKpAdLTfZeIl.webp",114,[166,179,195,207,222],{"title":167,"description":168,"slug":169,"created_at":170,"publish_at":171,"formatted_created_at":172,"category":173,"links":174,"view_type":112,"video_url":95,"views":177,"likes":178,"lang":90,"comments_count":89,"is_pinned":113},"The Anatomy of an Entrepreneur","Entrepreneur is a French word that means an enterpriser. Enterprisers are people who undertake a business or enterprise with the chance of earning profits or suffering from loss.","the-anatomy-of-an-entrepreneur","2021-08-04T15:18:21.000000Z","2025-12-14T06:09:00.000000Z","14.12.2025",{"title":65,"slug":66},{"image":175,"image_webp":95,"thumb":176,"thumb_webp":176},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/mVsXPTMuHZuI7UXCsENgL1Qwp1uSOf7Rz3uVPMfm.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/mVsXPTMuHZuI7UXCsENgL1Qwp1uSOf7Rz3uVPMfm.webp",72468,2,{"title":180,"description":181,"slug":182,"created_at":183,"publish_at":184,"formatted_created_at":185,"category":186,"links":187,"view_type":192,"video_url":95,"views":193,"likes":194,"lang":90,"comments_count":89,"is_pinned":113},"Advertising on QUASA","QUASA MEDIA is read by more than 400 thousand people a month. We offer to place your article, add a link or order the writing of an article for publication.","advertising-on-quasa","2022-07-06T07:33:02.000000Z","2025-12-15T17:33:02.000000Z","15.12.2025",{"title":58,"slug":63},{"image":188,"image_webp":189,"thumb":190,"thumb_webp":191},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/45SvmdsTQbiyc3nxgbyHY1mpVbisYyub2BCHjqBL.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/45SvmdsTQbiyc3nxgbyHY1mpVbisYyub2BCHjqBL.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/45SvmdsTQbiyc3nxgbyHY1mpVbisYyub2BCHjqBL.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/45SvmdsTQbiyc3nxgbyHY1mpVbisYyub2BCHjqBL.webp","large",72255,4,{"title":196,"description":197,"slug":198,"created_at":199,"publish_at":200,"formatted_created_at":201,"category":202,"links":203,"view_type":112,"video_url":95,"views":206,"likes":194,"lang":90,"comments_count":89,"is_pinned":113},"What is a Startup?","A startup is not a new company, not a tech company, nor a new tech company. You can be a new tech company, if your goal is not to grow high and fast; then, you are not a startup. ","what-is-a-startup","2021-08-04T12:05:17.000000Z","2025-12-17T13:02:00.000000Z","17.12.2025",{"title":65,"slug":66},{"image":204,"image_webp":95,"thumb":205,"thumb_webp":205},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/EOsQhSW3VXyG7a6NPdE1oZd00xfJXe3bjY5aJGb7.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/EOsQhSW3VXyG7a6NPdE1oZd00xfJXe3bjY5aJGb7.webp",69824,{"title":208,"description":209,"slug":210,"created_at":211,"publish_at":212,"formatted_created_at":213,"category":214,"links":215,"view_type":112,"video_url":95,"views":220,"likes":178,"lang":90,"comments_count":221,"is_pinned":113},"Top 5 Tips to Make More Money as a Content Creator","Content creators are one of the most desired job titles right now. Who wouldn’t want to earn a living online?","top-5-tips-to-make-more-money-as-a-content-creator","2022-01-17T17:31:51.000000Z","2026-01-17T11:30:00.000000Z","17.01.2026",{"title":19,"slug":20},{"image":216,"image_webp":217,"thumb":218,"thumb_webp":219},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/gP8kiumBPpJmQv6SMieXiX1tDetx43VwFfO1P4Ca.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/gP8kiumBPpJmQv6SMieXiX1tDetx43VwFfO1P4Ca.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/gP8kiumBPpJmQv6SMieXiX1tDetx43VwFfO1P4Ca.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/gP8kiumBPpJmQv6SMieXiX1tDetx43VwFfO1P4Ca.webp",43697,1,{"title":223,"description":224,"slug":225,"created_at":226,"publish_at":227,"formatted_created_at":228,"category":229,"links":230,"view_type":192,"video_url":95,"views":235,"likes":178,"lang":90,"comments_count":89,"is_pinned":113},"8 Logo Design Tips for Small Businesses","Your logo tells the story of your business and the values you stand for.","8-logo-design-tips-for-small-businesses","2021-12-04T21:59:52.000000Z","2025-05-05T03:30:00.000000Z","05.05.2025",{"title":15,"slug":16},{"image":231,"image_webp":232,"thumb":233,"thumb_webp":234},"https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/Wbx2NtS1CnTupgoQbpFMGspJ5jm4uob2hDOq33r0.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/images/news/Wbx2NtS1CnTupgoQbpFMGspJ5jm4uob2hDOq33r0.webp","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/Wbx2NtS1CnTupgoQbpFMGspJ5jm4uob2hDOq33r0.jpg","https://cdn.quasa.io/thumbs/news-thumb/images/news/Wbx2NtS1CnTupgoQbpFMGspJ5jm4uob2hDOq33r0.webp",42694,[237,238,239,240,241,242,243,244,245,246,247,248,249],{"title":23,"slug":24},{"title":47,"slug":48},{"title":55,"slug":56},{"title":43,"slug":44},{"title":51,"slug":52},{"title":31,"slug":32},{"title":35,"slug":36},{"title":27,"slug":28},{"title":19,"slug":20},{"title":15,"slug":16},{"title":58,"slug":63},{"title":11,"slug":12},{"title":65,"slug":66}]